We're down

[Cinio Dydd Sul]

Well in the last 30 years theres only 1 team that's been relegated with more than 53 points, and the mathematical spread of points this season makes that impossible, so we can throw that nonsensical idea out.

46 is the benchmark to aim for, if you don't think we can get 13 points in 18 games, then your beyond negotiation.

I've said it over and over again, to get relegated from this league takes serious effort, being shite is usually good enough to stay up

Will we get 13 points from 14 games though?

 

[JustJack]

Average safety for last 10 seasons is 44 but this is skewed by Blackburn relegated in 2017 with 51 points and Charlton in 2020 with 48. Lowest is 38 in 2022 but all others are in 41 - 45 range.

It's all to do with the point spread, what people forget is that when a team wins games (or most of them, per Leicester), it takes away the spread of points in the remainder of the table, conversely affecting the bottom end.

Posh went down with 54 in 2013, but Wolves went down with 51 also, even the bottom team (Wurzels) which is above average for 24th place

When you consider Hull got automatic promotion with 79 points, a 25 point gap between going up and down is crazy and indicates a crunch in the middle of the table

This season with the likes of Rotherham and Sheff Wed so far behind and teams at the top running away, I'd say it would be a mathematical miracle for a 50 points total to not result in a calm end to the season.

 

[Pontyjack]

There are 16 games left though

 

[JustJack]

Will we get 13 points from 14 games though?

I certainly think so, if not we will get what we deserve

We can win 4 games in 16, come on.

 

[sainthelens]

Well in the last 30 years theres only 1 team that's been relegated with more than 53 points, and the mathematical spread of points this season makes that impossible, so we can throw that nonsensical idea out.

46 is the benchmark to aim for, if you don't think we can get 13 points in 18 games, then your beyond negotiation.

I've said it over and over again, to get relegated from this league takes serious effort, being shite is usually good enough to stay up

It's precisely that attitude/outlook from fans and no doubt players that will see this go down to last few games. You say 46..I'll say few more than that, and if/when we don't get a point from next 4/5 games how will we react as a club and fanbase? Toxic doesn't come close, and when things get desperate....if you think winning is hard now, then what will all that do for us?
Yes, I'll negotiate pal, but saying we'll be fine? Wow.

 

[JustJack]

*bookmarked*

Does that count as a wager? £100 to a charity if we stay up?

 

[Swanjaxs]

Does that count as a wager? £100 to a charity if we stay up?

No it doesn't mate, I give to two charities every week straight out of my wages so I do my bit

 

[JustJack]

It's precisely that attitude/outlook from fans and no doubt players that will see this go down to last few games. You say 46..I'll say few more than that, and if/when we don't get a point from next 4/5 games how will we react as a club and fanbase? Toxic doesn't come close, and when things get desperate....if you think winning is hard now, then what will all that do for us?
Yes, I'll negotiate pal, but saying we'll be fine? Wow.

You would have been one for the trenches..

 

[Cinio Dydd Sul]

I certainly think so, if not we will get what we deserve

We can win 4 games in 16, come on.

It's certainly possible.

 

[sainthelens]

You would have been one for the trenches..

You'd have been in the band on the titanic.
I pay over 400 bucks every year to sit in the trenches pal.

 

[Ringwood]

Can't see Rotherham and Sheff Wed surviving so it's 7 clubs for the last place

 

[newquay]

Oh dear.

Another thread of pitiful, dreary doom plagued by the perennial doom mongers.

 

[Swanjaxs]

Oh dear.

Another thread of pitiful, dreary doom plagued by the perennial doom mongers.

Or maybe proper Jacks who recognise the real possibility of being dragged into a relegation battle and want to chew the cud

 

[monmouth]

*bookmarked*

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We won’t go down, but only because half the division is a pile of shit. My Millwall mate is proper cacking it, as they are showing absolutely nothing and were soundly beaten at QPR.

 

[Swanjaxs]

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We won’t go down, but only because half the division is a pile of shit. My Millwall mate is proper cacking it, as they are showing absolutely nothing and were soundly beaten at QPR.

I'm of the same opinion, we played some good football yesterday and deserved something, Ronald will be a revelation and with Key to come back in that will help too.
My major concern is at centre back, the Wood and Cabango partnership is literally a car crash waiting to happen every time the opposition go at us, I'd even play Ryan Bennett if he was still with us before either.
The way I see it we are always going to have to score to get anything out of a game because there is absolutely no chance of securing a clean sheet at the moment...